Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.