Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.