Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Nov 8, 2020 at 12pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
3 - 2
Lille

Pierre-Gabriel (15'), Perraud (19'), Cardona (42')
Chardonnet (52'), Mounie (56'), Larsonneur (87'), Faussurier (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Yilmaz (45+3' pen., 57')
Yilmaz (45+3'), Mandava (64'), Fonte (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 match between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lille
27.97%	25.42%	46.61%

Both teams to score 53.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.68%

50.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.74%

72.26%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.64%

32.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.13%

68.87%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41%

21.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.31%

54.69%

Score Analysis

Brest 27.97%

Lille 46.61%

Draw 25.41%

Brest	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.97%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.61%