Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2

Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
1 - 1
Marseille

Lees-Melou (61')
Der Zakarian (29'), Belaili (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tavares (38')
Milik (17'), Gerson (57'), Rongier (65'), Guendouzi (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 3-2 Brest
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Rennes	2	-1	1
14	Brest	1	-1	0
15	Troyes	1	-1	0

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Reims
Sunday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Monaco	2	1	4
4	Marseille	1	3	3
5	Lens	1	1	3

A clash between two sides who simply love to attack has all the makings of an enthralling affair this weekend, unless the footballing gods throw a drab goalless stalemate our way. Such an eventuality should not occur at the Stade Francis Le-Ble, where a full-strength Marseille side ought to march to their second win of the season in convincing fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Marseille
30.36% ( -0)	25.92% ( -0)	43.72% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.89% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82% (

0.01)

51.18% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

0.01)

73.02% (

-0)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.95% (

31.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.63% (

67.36% (

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.7% (

0.01)

23.3% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.76% (

0.01)

57.24% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Brest 30.36%

Marseille 43.71%

Draw 25.91%

Brest	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.36%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.71%