MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:30:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Lorient logo

Ajaccio
0 - 1
Lorient


Nouri (38'), Gonzalez (47'), El Idrissy (68'), Youssouf (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ouattara (51')
Kone (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 5-2 Lorient
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 1-2 Lorient

Considering that Ajaccio have conceded in every game so far this term, while Lorient have only kept one clean sheet in five outings, we can see both sides having joy in the final third on Sunday. However, the visitors will be viewed as the slight favourites and should do enough to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawLorient
47.05% (0.637 0.64) 28.29% (-0.491 -0.49) 24.66% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 42.49% (1.076 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.33% (1.422 1.42)62.68% (-1.418 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.77% (1.024 1.02)82.23% (-1.02 -1.02)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (1 1)26.81% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (1.297 1.3)62.11% (-1.293 -1.29)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.05% (0.69 0.69)41.95% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61% (0.592 0.59)78.39% (-0.589 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 47.04%
    Lorient 24.66%
    Draw 28.28%
AjaccioDrawLorient
1-0 @ 14.8% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.188 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.183 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 47.04%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 11.24% (-0.61 -0.61)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.329 -0.33)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.66%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Lorient

Ajaccio
25.5%
Draw
12.8%
Lorient
61.7%
47
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2020 2pm
Ajaccio
1-0
Lorient
Bayala (52')
El Idrissy (4'), Ismael (58')
Oct 4, 2019 7pm
Lorient
0-0
Ajaccio

Hamel (36')

Ismael (51'), Flips (69')
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Aug 28, 2018 5.30pm
Ajaccio
0-1
Lorient

Choplin (22')
Courtet (21')
Ponceau (53'), Wadja (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG22175059203956
2Marseille22144450262446
3MonacoMonaco22124644291540
4Nice21107441261537
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest22102103538-332
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse227692325-227
11Auxerre226793137-625
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes224992539-1421
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2253142050-3018
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!