Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
0 - 1
Lorient

Nouri (38'), Gonzalez (47'), El Idrissy (68'), Youssouf (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ouattara (51')
Kone (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

Last Six:

Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Strasbourg	5	-2	3
19	Angers	6	-11	2
20	Ajaccio	5	-6	1

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 5-2 Lorient
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Rennes	5	1	7
7	Lorient	4	-1	7
8	Lille	5	-2	7

Considering that Ajaccio have conceded in every game so far this term, while Lorient have only kept one clean sheet in five outings, we can see both sides having joy in the final third on Sunday. However, the visitors will be viewed as the slight favourites and should do enough to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Lorient
47.05% ( 0.64)	28.29% ( -0.49)	24.66% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 42.49% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.33% (

1.42)

62.68% (

-1.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.77% (

1.02)

82.23% (

-1.02)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

26.81% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

1.3)

62.11% (

-1.29)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.05% (

0.69)

41.95% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.61% (

0.59)

78.39% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 47.04%

Lorient 24.66%

Draw 28.28%

Ajaccio	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.8% Total : 47.04%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.61) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.15% Total : 24.66%