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Ligue 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
AC Ajaccio

Lyon
2 - 1
Ajaccio

Tete (12'), Lacazette (21' pen.)
Lacazette (33')
Lopes (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mangani (31' pen.)
Avinel (20'), Hamouma (33'), El Idrissy (34'), Diallo (41'), Spadanuda (90+2')
Hamouma (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:
    Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Lyon
    Saturday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Ajaccio

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Toulouse
      Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2

      We said: Lyon 3-0 Ajaccio

       One can only begin to imagine the murmurs of discontent which will become apparent if Lyon fail to kick off the opening day with a convincing win, but we do not expect any shocks at the Groupama Stadium. Pantaloni already has experience of managing in the top level and has a wealth of veteran players with knowledge of the top flight, but their steadfast defending from 2021-22 will count for nought against a reinvigorated Lyon crop, and their goalscoring problems will not be solved overnight either. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.84%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

      Result
      LyonDrawAjaccio
      63.24% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 20.91%15.84% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
      Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      54.63% (-0.012 -0.01)45.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      32.29% (-0.012 -0.01)67.71% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
      Lyon Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      86.3% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)13.7%
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      59.07% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)40.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)
      Ajaccio Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      58.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)41.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      21.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)78.02% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
      Score Analysis
          Lyon 63.22%
          Ajaccio 15.85%
          Draw 20.91%
      LyonDrawAjaccio
      1-0 @ 11.3%
      2-0 @ 11.23%
      2-1 @ 9.88%
      3-0 @ 7.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
      4-0 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
      4-1 @ 3.25%
      3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
      5-0 @ 1.47%
      4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      5-1 @ 1.29%
      Other @ 2.8%
      Total : 63.22%
      		1-1 @ 9.94%
      0-0 @ 5.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
      Other @ 0.94%
      Total : 20.91%
      		0-1 @ 5%
      1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
      0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
      2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      Other @ 1.73%
      Total : 15.85%

      How you voted: Lyon vs Ajaccio

      Lyon
      91.3%
      Draw
      5.4%
      Ajaccio
      3.4%
      149
      Head to Head
      Feb 16, 2014 1pm
      Lyon
      3-1
      Ajaccio
      Fofana (43'), Briand (68'), Gomis (90')
      Ferri (72')
      Oliech (81')
      Perozo (29'), Tonucci (78')
      > Match Report
      Sep 25, 2013 6pm
      Ajaccio
      2-1
      Lyon
      Arrache (18'), Demba Camara (70')
      Goncalves (10'), Arrache (19'), Lasne (53'), Demba Camara (92'), Belghazouani (94'), Grenier (94')
      Malbranque (56')
      Malbranque (41'), Lacazette (94')
      Lacazette (95')
      > Match Report
      Feb 3, 2013 1pm
      Ajaccio
      3-1
      Lyon
      Belghazouani (57'), Mutu (65', 90' pen.)
      Mutu (34'), Mostefa (66'), Oliech (89')
      Lacazette (53')
      Ghezzal (63'), Martial (90')
      Lovren (90')
      > Match Report
      Sep 16, 2012 4pm
      Lyon
      2-0
      Ajaccio
      Lovren (25'), López (74')
      Grenier (14')

      Bouhours (13'), Mutu (69')
      May 12, 2012 3pm
      Ajaccio
      1-1
      Lyon
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
      2Marseille1062223121120
      3MonacoMonaco10622157820
      4Lille10532169718
      5Nice104421991016
      6Lyon104331715215
      7Lens1035297214
      8Reims104241615114
      9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
      10Auxerre104151718-113
      11Brest104151316-313
      12Toulouse103341111012
      13Rennes103251316-311
      14NantesNantes102441214-210
      15Angers102441116-510
      16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
      17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
      18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224
      > Ligue 1 Full Table


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