Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
5 - 2
Lorient

Sotoca (24', 77'), Said (28'), Abdul Samed (57'), Openda (86')
Gradit (63')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Moffi (41', 50')
Ouattara (58'), Abergel (60'), Moffi (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Marseille	4	7	10
3	Lens	4	5	10
4	Lyon	3	4	7

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Lyon	3	4	7
5	Lorient	3	2	7
6	Lille	4	-1	7

We said: Lens 2-1 Lorient

Although both sides are unbeaten this term, we think that a Lens side that have won both of their home games this season will edge out the visitors on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Lorient
63.88% ( 0.01)	21.34% ( -0.01)	14.78% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.66% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

0.03)

49.16% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.76% (

0.02)

71.23% (

-0.02)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.27% (

0.01)

14.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.07% (

0.02)

42.92% (

-0.02)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.71% (

0.01)

45.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.83% (

0.01)

81.16% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Lens 63.87%

Lorient 14.78%

Draw 21.33%

Lens	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 12.77% 2-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 63.87%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.33%	0-1 @ 5.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.06% 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.78%