Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 9, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
3 - 0
Nantes

Gouiri (26'), Terrier (80'), Doue (84')
Traore (61')
Rodon (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Nantes
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes need points rapidly if they are to avoid being dragged into a relegation battle, but this weekend's clash is unlikely to be the match that they start their revival with. Rennes have been one of the standout teams in Ligue 1 this season and more points will likely be on order for the hosts this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 8.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Nantes
75.61% ( -0.06)	15.76% ( -0.03)	8.64% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 44.8% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.44% (

0.5)

40.57% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.05% (

0.51)

62.95% (

-0.5)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.93% (

0.11)

9.07% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.17% (

0.26)

30.83% (

-0.25)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.27% (

0.56)

50.73% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.84% (

0.38)

85.16% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Rennes 75.6%

Nantes 8.64%

Draw 15.76%

Rennes	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.57% Total : 75.6%	1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.61% Total : 15.76%	0-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 8.64%