Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Clermont | 6 | -2 | 9 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Monaco | 6 | -3 | 8 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Troyes | 7 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Nantes | 6 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 77.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 8.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Auxerre |
77.82% ( -0.03) | 14.13% ( -0.01) | 8.05% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.31% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.39% ( 0.16) | 34.61% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.45% ( 0.18) | 56.55% ( -0.18) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.8% ( 0.03) | 7.19% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.88% ( 0.08) | 26.12% ( -0.08) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.05% ( 0.19) | 47.95% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.81% ( 0.14) | 83.19% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Auxerre |
2-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 77.81% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 14.13% | 0-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 8.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |