Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Lille | 5 | -2 | 7 |
9 | Auxerre | 5 | -2 | 7 |
10 | Nantes | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Lens | 5 | 8 | 13 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Lyon | 4 | 5 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Marseille |
29.47% ( 1.71) | 25.32% ( -0.06) | 45.21% ( -1.65) |
Both teams to score 54.32% ( 1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.91% ( 1.18) | 49.09% ( -1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.84% ( 1.06) | 71.16% ( -1.06) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% ( 1.88) | 30.61% ( -1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.15% ( 2.17) | 66.85% ( -2.17) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% ( -0.25) | 21.71% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.13% ( -0.38) | 54.87% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.47% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.5) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Lens | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
5 | NantesNantes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
7 | Nice | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
8 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Lille | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Lyon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 3 |
18 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |