MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 01:56:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 3, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Marseille

Auxerre
0 - 2
Marseille


Jubal (39'), Furlan (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerson (8'), Sanchez (84')
Tudor (42'), Harit (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Auxerre
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Clermont
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 1-2 Marseille

Although Auxerre have avoided defeat in their opening two home games, we think that they will lose narrowly to a Marseille side who are aiming to clinch a fourth consecutive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawMarseille
29.47% (1.706 1.71) 25.32% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 45.21% (-1.654 -1.65)
Both teams to score 54.32% (1.3 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (1.177 1.18)49.09% (-1.18 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (1.056 1.06)71.16% (-1.059 -1.06)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (1.876 1.88)30.61% (-1.879 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (2.166 2.17)66.85% (-2.168 -2.17)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.251 -0.25)21.71% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-0.384 -0.38)54.87% (0.381 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 29.47%
    Marseille 45.21%
    Draw 25.31%
AuxerreDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.331 0.33)
2-0 @ 4.66% (0.25 0.25)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.265 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.188 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.47%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.214 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.58 -0.58)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.504 -0.5)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.21%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Marseille

Auxerre
3.8%
Draw
11.5%
Marseille
84.6%
52
Head to Head
May 13, 2012 4pm
Aug 14, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
2Marseille5410156913
3MonacoMonaco5410102813
4Lens52305239
5NantesNantes52217438
6Reims52217708
7Nice521214687
8Rennes621310917
9Lille52128717
10StrasbourgStrasbourg5131111016
11Le HavreLe Havre5203710-36
12Auxerre6204812-46
13Brest6204813-56
14Toulouse512246-25
15Lyon5113611-54
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier5113515-104
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne5104115-143
18Angers502339-62


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