MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:24:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
AJ Auxerre

Montpellier
1 - 2
Auxerre

Sakho (39')
Sakho (73')
Fayad (46'), Savanier (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
da Costa (70'), Autret (75' pen.)
da Costa (5'), Joly (43')
Niang (51'), da Costa (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Angers
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Auxerre

Both teams have showcased that they are not always the strongest at the back in terms of keeping clean sheets, and that should open this game up to feature plenty of goals. Montpellier HSC have been free-scoring in the first two fixtures, and that could play a part in them securing all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawAuxerre
41.66% (-0.734 -0.73) 24.69% (-0.093 -0.09) 33.65% (0.823 0.82)
Both teams to score 58.32% (0.602 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (0.667 0.67)44.69% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.642 0.64)67.05% (-0.645 -0.64)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)21.49% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)54.53% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.818 0.82)25.71% (-0.821 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (1.1 1.1)60.63% (-1.104 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 41.66%
    Auxerre 33.65%
    Draw 24.68%
Montpellier HSCDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.264 -0.26)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.102 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.65%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Auxerre

Montpellier HSC
73.5%
Draw
14.7%
Auxerre
11.8%
34
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
2Marseille5410156913
3MonacoMonaco5410102813
4Lens52305239
5NantesNantes52217438
6Reims52217708
7Nice521214687
8Rennes621310917
9Lille52128717
10StrasbourgStrasbourg5131111016
11Le HavreLe Havre5203710-36
12Auxerre6204812-46
13Brest6204813-56
14Toulouse512246-25
15Lyon5113611-54
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier5113515-104
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne5104115-143
18Angers502339-62


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