Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Ajaccio | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Troyes |
43.85% ( 0.37) | 26.03% ( -0.14) | 30.12% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 52.4% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.24% ( 0.48) | 51.76% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.47% ( 0.41) | 73.53% ( -0.41) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.51% ( 0.39) | 23.49% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.49% ( 0.56) | 57.51% ( -0.56) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.48% ( 0.08) | 31.52% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.09% ( 0.09) | 67.91% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.84% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |