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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Troyes

Montpellier
3 - 2
Troyes

Sainte-Luce (3'), Savanier (15', 81')
Makouana (52')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Tardieu (12' pen.), Balde (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Troyes

Although Montpellier's struggles at the end of last term have continued into pre-season, they have usually pick up a positive result against Troyes, and we think they will manage to take a point from Sunday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawTroyes
43.85% (0.36799999999999 0.37) 26.03% (-0.14 -0.14) 30.12% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 52.4% (0.32700000000001 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (0.477 0.48)51.76% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (0.412 0.41)73.53% (-0.411 -0.41)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (0.387 0.39)23.49% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (0.559 0.56)57.51% (-0.559 -0.56)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.081000000000003 0.08)31.52% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.093 0.09)67.91% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 43.84%
    Troyes 30.12%
    Draw 26.03%
Montpellier HSCDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.77% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.12%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Troyes

Montpellier HSC
67.6%
Draw
21.6%
Troyes
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 6pm
Montpellier
0-1
Troyes

Mollet (39'), Souquet (58'), Chotard (66'), Mavididi (68'), Ferri (87')
Savanier (63')
Chavalerin (74')
Biancone (21')
Sep 19, 2021 2pm
Troyes
1-1
Montpellier
Touzghar (37')
Dingome (44'), Banhie-Zoukrou (71'), Chavalerin (81'), Rodrigues (90+1')
Savanier (87')
Thuler (23'), Ferri (49'), Savanier (51')
Thuler (79')
May 12, 2018 8pm
Sep 16, 2017 7pm
Troyes
0-1
Montpellier

Azamoum (40'), Grandsir (71'), Vizcarrondo (76'), Herelle (87')
Vizcarrondo (90')
Mendes (32')
Sambia (19'), Mendes (79'), Lecomte (80')
Apr 24, 2016 4pm
Montpellier
4-1
Troyes
Roussillon (13'), Saunier (27' og.), Martin (34'), Camara (56')
Hilton (41')
Darbion (20')
Confais (67'), Rincon (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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