Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
3 - 1
Brest

Rodon (53'), Terrier (89'), Doue (90+1')
Assignon (61'), Tait (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Honorat (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Monaco	4	-2	5
13	Rennes	4	-1	4
14	Brest	4	-6	4

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 0-7 Montpellier
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Rennes	4	-1	4
14	Brest	4	-6	4
15	Troyes	4	-5	3

After suffering a heavy 7-0 defeat at the weekend, Brest will be pushing to do everything possible to return to winning ways, but this could be a difficult task. Rennes are a strong side and that is something that could lead to the picking up all three points in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Brest
72.87% ( -0.03)	17.28% ( 0.02)	9.85% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.56% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.32% (

-0.04)

43.68% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.93% (

-0.04)

66.07% (

0.04)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.46% (

-0.02)

10.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.75% (

-0.04)

34.25% (

0.04)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.81% (

50.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.21% (

84.79% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Rennes 72.85%

Brest 9.85%

Draw 17.28%

Rennes	Draw	Brest
2-0 @ 13.38% 1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 72.85%	1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.28%	0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 9.85%