Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Rennes |
34.57% ( 0.17) | 26.48% ( 0.07) | 38.94% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 52.43% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.62% ( -0.28) | 52.38% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.93% ( -0.24) | 74.06% ( 0.24) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.14% ( -0.03) | 28.86% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.28% ( -0.03) | 64.72% ( 0.03) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.7% ( -0.27) | 26.29% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.58% ( -0.36) | 61.42% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.57% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |