Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 39.04%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Nice had a probability of 29.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.59%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.