Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
0 - 4
Freiburg

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kubler (26'), Gregoritsch (71'), Castelletto (82' og.), Woo-yeong (87')
Hofler (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Nantes and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Nantes
Sunday, October 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

On current form it is hard to see beyond Freiburg retaining their 100% record in the Europa League this season, even if Nantes are likely to be a tougher nut to crack on home soil. The hosts are on a desperate run of results right now and Kombouare is facing significant pressure, especially after losing the Derby Breton on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Freiburg
31.53% ( 0.12)	27.49% ( 0)	40.98% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 48.58% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.07% (

0.02)

56.93% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.16% (

0.02)

77.84% (

-0.01)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.82% (

0.1)

33.18% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.22% (

0.11)

69.78% (

-0.1)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0.06)

27.29% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.26% (

-0.08)

62.74% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Nantes 31.53%

Freiburg 40.99%

Draw 27.48%

Nantes	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.53%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.99%