Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2022 at 8pm UK

Europa Park Stadium

Freiburg
2 - 1
Qarabag FK

Grifo (7' pen.), Doan (15')
Grifo (45+2'), Doan (51')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Vesovic (39')
Bayramov (6'), Richard (81'), Kwabena (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 Freiburg
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Freiburg	5	5	12
2	Borussia Dortmund	5	4	12
3	Bayern Munich	5	14	11

Qarabag FK

Last Six:

Last Game: Plzen 2-1 Qarabag FK
Tuesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 1-0 Qarabag FK

Should Streich rotate his side, Freiburg could find this match tougher than many people may expect. Qarabag have provided stubborn resistance to plenty of sides in Europe over the past decade, but we believe that the hosts will bag the three points with a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.45%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 22.57% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Qarabag FK
55.45% ( -0.02)	21.98% ( 0)	22.57% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.95% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.05% (

-0.01)

39.95% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.69% (

-0.01)

62.31% (

0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.66% (

-0.01)

14.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.82% (

-0.02)

42.18% (

0.02)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.81% (

0.01)

31.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.47% (

0.01)

67.52% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 55.45%

Qarabag FK 22.57%

Draw 21.97%

Freiburg	Draw	Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 55.45%	1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.97%	1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 22.57%