Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 9, 2022 at 7pm UK

Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu

Ferencvaros
1 - 3
Qarabag FK

(Qarabag FK win 4-2 on aggregate)

Traore (86')
Thelander (30'), Boli (34'), Botka (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Richard (7'), Wadji (54', 78')
Jankovic (31'), Bayramov (62'), Richard (84'), Andrade (90+1'), Vesovic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ferencvaros and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

Last Game: Qarabag FK 1-1 Ferencvaros
Wednesday, August 3 at 5pm in Champions League

Qarabag FK

Last Game: Qarabag FK 1-1 Ferencvaros
Wednesday, August 3 at 5pm in Champions League

We said: Ferencvaros 2-1 Qarabag FK A.E.T. (Ferencvaros win 3-2 on aggregate)

The combination of home advantage and the wily management of their coach should see Ferencvaros over the line in this well-matched contest, but they may require an extra 30 minutes to get there due to Qarabag's ability to fight back from behind. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.61%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Ferencvaros	Draw	Qarabag FK
53.98% ( 0.02)	20.64% ( -0.01)	25.38% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 67.49% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.7% (

0.02)

30.3% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.45% (

0.02)

51.55% (

-0.02)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.45% (

0.01)

11.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.53% (

0.02)

36.47% (

-0.02)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3%

23.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.18% (

-0)

57.81% (

Score Analysis

Ferencvaros 53.99%

Qarabag FK 25.38%

Draw 20.64%

Ferencvaros	Draw	Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.99%	1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.64%	1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 25.38%