Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 5pm UK
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu
Qarabag FK5 - 1Lech Poznan
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Qarabag FK 1-1 Lech Poznan (Lech Poznan win 2-1 on aggregate)
As both sides carry a goal threat and are used to taking the initiative, there could be opportunities at either end, following a relatively cagey first leg. The Polish champions should progress, but it may require a backs-to-the-wall effort to secure their passage to the second qualifying round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Qarabag FK | Draw | Lech Poznan |
29.94% ( -0.01) | 23.87% | 46.18% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.51% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.58% | 42.41% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% ( -0) | 64.82% ( 0) |
Qarabag FK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.08% ( -0.01) | 26.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.76% ( -0.01) | 62.24% ( 0.01) |
Lech Poznan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.42% ( 0.01) | 18.58% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.15% ( 0.01) | 49.84% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Qarabag FK 29.95%
Lech Poznan 46.18%
Draw 23.87%
Qarabag FK | Draw | Lech Poznan |
2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.95% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.42% 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 46.18% |
How you voted: Qarabag FK vs Lech Poznan
Qarabag FK
56.5%Draw
23.9%Lech Poznan
19.6%46
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2022 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-27 08:03:25
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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