Lech Poznan

3 - 1

Standard Liege

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.