Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smyrni win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smyrni win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.