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Heidenheim
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Union Berlin logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Baku (71')
Wimmer (15')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vogt (45+2'), Benes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, November 10 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg
Friday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Union Berlin

Despite Wolfsburg historically flourishing in this fixture, their winless run at the Volkswagen Arena and Union conceding a mere five goals on the road (three against Bayern) point to a possible low-scoring affair on Saturday. Thus, we expect the spoils to be shared in this gameweek 11 encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolfsburg in this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawUnion Berlin
38.87% (-0.064 -0.06) 27.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 34.07% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.25% (0.084000000000003 0.08)54.75% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.94% (0.07 0.07)76.06% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)27.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)62.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.094999999999999 0.09)30.34% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.11300000000001 0.11)66.53% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 38.86%
    Union Berlin 34.07%
    Draw 27.05%
WolfsburgDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.07%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin

Wolfsburg
45.5%
Draw
31.8%
Union Berlin
22.7%
44
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Union Berlin
1-0
Wolfsburg
Doekhi (45+25')
Roussillon (85')

Kovac (45+26'), Arnold (90+1'), Pervan (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Wolfsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Wind (12'), Maehle (30')
Svanberg (78')
Gosens (28')
Mar 12, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 24
Wolfsburg
1-1
Union Berlin
Wimmer (84')
Juranovic (72' pen.)
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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