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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Pauli | Draw | Wolfsburg |
45.03% ( -0.24) | 23.36% ( -0.02) | 31.61% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 62.29% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.84% ( 0.2) | 39.16% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.51% ( 0.21) | 61.48% ( -0.21) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.25% ( -0.02) | 17.75% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.56% ( -0.03) | 48.44% ( 0.03) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.73% ( 0.26) | 24.27% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.37% ( 0.36) | 58.63% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
St Pauli | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.87% Total : 45.03% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |