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Heidenheim
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Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Wolfsburg

St Pauli
0 - 0
Wolfsburg

FT

Kaminski (76'), Maehle (82'), Majer (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 St Pauli
Friday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: St Pauli 1-2 Wolfsburg

Six of Wolfsburg's seven points have come away from home this season, and they are also one of only four teams to score in every game so far. By contrast, sub-par St Pauli have fired blanks in more than half of their fixtures, so the visitors should prevail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawWolfsburg
45.03% (-0.245 -0.24) 23.36% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 31.61% (0.264 0.26)
Both teams to score 62.29% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.2 0.2)39.16% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.211 0.21)61.48% (-0.209 -0.21)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.75% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.44% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.258 0.26)24.27% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.362 0.36)58.63% (-0.36 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 45.03%
    Wolfsburg 31.61%
    Draw 23.35%
St PauliDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 45.03%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.61%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Wolfsburg

St Pauli
20.4%
Draw
22.2%
Wolfsburg
57.4%
54
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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