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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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Stuttgart
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VfL Bochum
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
1 - 0
St Pauli

Hollerbach (34')
Hollerbach (76'), Querfeld (90+1'), Woo-yeong (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guilavogui (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Heidenheim
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 St Pauli

Union did well to come back from a goal down and salvage a point on the road last weekend, and the introduction of new signing Benes could be a big factor in deciding this game. Without adding much new firepower to the squad, and losing manager Hurzeler to the Premier League, St Pauli need to quickly prove they are equipped for this level after an opening day defeat at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawSt Pauli
21.67% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 22.17%56.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 57.01% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-0.012 -0.01)41.92% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-0.012 -0.01)64.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)33.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)69.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 21.67%
    St Pauli 56.17%
    Draw 22.17%
Union BerlinDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 5.72%
1-0 @ 5.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.99%
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 21.67%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.72%
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.15%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 56.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs St Pauli

Union Berlin
83.4%
Draw
11.9%
St Pauli
4.6%
151
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Union Berlin
2-1
St Pauli
Becker (45'), Voglsammer (75')
Becker (64'), Khedira (78')
Kyereh (21')
Feb 4, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 20
St Pauli
3-2
Union Berlin
Allagui (23'), Meier (62', 90' pen.)
Allagui (4'), Flum (33'), Knoll (84')
Promel (84'), Abdullahi (86')
Schmiedebach (12'), Friedrich (37'), Lenz (60')
Aug 26, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
4-1
St Pauli
Promel (44'), Gogia (45'), Andersson (57', 88')
Prince Redondo (76')
Veerman (71')
Flum (31'), Buchtmann (38'), Sahin (64')
Apr 14, 2018 12pm
St Pauli
0-1
Union Berlin

Buballa (71'), Sahin (90')
Hedlund (81')
Friedrich (5'), Kroos (45'), Hartel (87')
Friedrich (56')
Nov 4, 2017 12pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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