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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
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Union Berlin
2 - 1
Freiburg

Hollerbach (68'), Haberer (90+2')
Knoche (52'), Trimmel (67'), Juranovic (70'), Gosens (75'), Haberer (85'), Laidouni (90+7'), Volland (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doan (85')
Makengo (37'), Doan (54'), Kubler (75'), Eggestein (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Freiburg

 It is hard to look beyond a win for Freiburg on Saturday, despite Union's dire need for one. The departing Streich has seen his side thrive on the road in recent weeks, an antithesis of their wretched home form, and they should inflict a fourth straight loss on the Iron Ones on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
37.68% (0.98399999999999 0.98) 25.4% (0.18 0.18) 36.92% (-1.159 -1.16)
Both teams to score 56.34% (-0.625 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-0.806 -0.81)47.48% (0.811 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.749 -0.75)69.69% (0.75399999999999 0.75)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (0.16900000000001 0.17)24.73% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (0.234 0.23)59.29% (-0.228 -0.23)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (-0.996 -1)25.14% (1.002 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-1.398 -1.4)59.86% (1.403 1.4)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 37.68%
    Freiburg 36.92%
    Draw 25.39%
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.258 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.68%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 36.92%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Freiburg

Union Berlin
38.0%
Draw
19.0%
Freiburg
43.0%
79
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Freiburg
0-0
Union Berlin
Aaronson (50'), Ronnow (90+5')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Union Berlin
4-2
Freiburg
Behrens (5'), Becker (36', 38'), Laidouni (80')
Khedira (15'), Behrens (33'), Becker (36')
Gulde (56'), Grifo (70' pen.)
Gregoritsch (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Freiburg
4-1
Union Berlin
Grifo (4' pen., 6', 20' pen.), Gregoritsch (45+1')
Michel (84' pen.)
> Preview
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
1-4
Union Berlin
Holer (59')
Sallai (67')
Promel (11'), Trimmel (30'), Becker (41'), Schafer (90')
Oczipka (50'), Luthe (69')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Union Berlin
0-0
Freiburg
Becker (77')
Hofler (35')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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