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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
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Augsburg
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Tietz (47'), Michel (81')
Breithaupt (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Khedira (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Augsburg
Sunday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 2-1 Union Berlin

 There has been little to separate these two teams in recent years, but Augsburg have had the edge and will be regarded as favourites for Friday's contest on home soil. After failing to score in four of their last five games, Union Berlin will hope to breach an Augsburg backline that has kept only two clean sheets all season, but that may not be enough to get the better of the hosts this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
50.06%24.91%25.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)50.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)72.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.12% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)71.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 50.05%
    Union Berlin 25.02%
    Draw 24.9%
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 25.02%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Union Berlin

Augsburg
68.1%
Draw
20.3%
Union Berlin
11.6%
69
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Union Berlin
1-1
Augsburg
Volland (88')
Gosens (37'), Haberer (45+5')
Demirovic (39' pen.)
Dahmen (87'), Mbabu (90+5')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Augsburg
1-0
Union Berlin
Beljo (53')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Union Berlin
2-2
Augsburg
Becker (7'), Behrens (22')
Niederlechner (9', 39')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Augsburg
2-0
Union Berlin
Gregoritsch (16'), Hahn (59')

Khedira (42'), Voglsammer (60')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Union Berlin
0-0
Augsburg
Khedira (41')
Oxford (36'), Dorsch (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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