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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
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Augsburg
1 - 1
FC Koln

Maier (18')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Selke (33')
Alidou (61'), Maina (89'), Ljubicic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 1-5 RB Leipzig
Friday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 2-0 FC Koln

 After four straight wins, a fixture against a side battling relegation is ideal on paper for Augsburg, and even though their last defeat came against Mainz, who were in 17th at the time, they should have no such problems this time. A 1-1 draw in the reverse saw Koln's three-game winning streak against Augsburg - where they scored 10 goals - come to an end, and a defeat is now on the cards for the Bundesliga strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawFC Koln
46.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 23.87% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 30.06% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 59.58% (-0.22 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.65% (-0.269 -0.27)42.35% (0.269 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.25% (-0.266 -0.27)64.75% (0.268 0.27)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)18.6% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12% (-0.145 -0.15)49.88% (0.148 0.15)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)26.81% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.256 -0.26)62.1% (0.258 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 46.07%
    FC Koln 30.06%
    Draw 23.87%
AugsburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.06%

How you voted: Augsburg vs FC Koln

Augsburg
87.8%
Draw
10.2%
FC Koln
2.0%
49
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
FC Koln
1-1
Augsburg
Maina (16')
Selke (90+7')
Tietz (25')
Pedersen (40'), Gouweleeuw (90+1'), Breithaupt (90+7'), Dahmen (90+6')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Augsburg
1-3
FC Koln
Vargas (29')
Skhiri (7'), Martel (16'), Maina (59')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
FC Koln
3-2
Augsburg
Tigges (47', 81'), Huseinbasic (61')
Niederlechner (14'), Caligiuri (68')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Augsburg
1-4
FC Koln
Niederlechner (73')
Gruezo (42'), Oxford (69')
Thielmann (12'), Uth (15'), Modeste (63' pen., 77')
Thielmann (53'), Kainz (60'), Hubers (75'), Kilian (80')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
FC Koln
0-2
Augsburg

Kilian (57'), Baumgart (79'), Ozcan (87')
Hahn (72'), Dorsch (88')
Gregoritsch (25'), Dorsch (41'), Gouweleeuw (57'), Cordova (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201
> Bundesliga Full Table


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