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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
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FC Koln
1 - 5
RB Leipzig

Adamyan (18')
Finkgrafe (49'), Alidou (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simons (15'), Openda (63', 67'), Haidara (70'), Poulsen (82')
Simons (62'), Haidara (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-3 FC Koln
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 RB Leipzig

 RB Leipzig bounced back well from their Champions League disappointment last week and have an excellent opportunity to move into the top four in the league, with Dortmund taking on Frankfurt later in the weekend. Koln have lost three of their last four home games, and we feel they will struggle to avoid another defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
29.38% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 47.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (0.0049999999999955 0)38.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.12% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)25.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)60.16% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)16.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72% (0.028000000000006 0.03)46.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 29.38%
    RB Leipzig 47.63%
    Draw 22.99%
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.38%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.63%

How you voted: FC Koln vs RB Leipzig

FC Koln
10.4%
Draw
6.0%
RB Leipzig
83.6%
134
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
RB Leipzig
6-0
FC Koln
Werner (15' pen.), Openda (40', 45+3'), Raum (43'), Sesko (88'), Baumgartner (90+1')
Simakan (19'), Rose (36'), Klostermann (79')

Chabot (29'), Olesen (72'), Baumgart (82'), Kilian (85')
Olesen (80')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
FC Koln
0-0
RB Leipzig
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
2-2
FC Koln
Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Koln
1-1
RB Leipzig
Modeste (53')
Czichos (17'), Mere (76'), Schmitz (79')
Haidara (71')
Klostermann (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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