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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
SV Darmstadt

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Darmstadt

Isherwood (3' og.), Baumgartner (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Muller (7'), Klarer (44'), Franjic (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, March 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-6 Augsburg
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-0 SV Darmstadt 98

Darmstadt supporters will be expecting a response from their team this weekend, but their chances of claiming a positive result are slim considering that they come up against a Champions League-chasing Leipzig outfit on home soil. Die Roten Bullen have not lost any of their previous 30 top-flight meetings with newly-promoted teams and it is difficult to back against a comfortable victory for the hosts this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawSV Darmstadt 98
68.78% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03) 17.67% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 13.54% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.71% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)35.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.69% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)57.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.69% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)9.31% (0.015099999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.58% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)31.42% (0.035 0.04)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)38.33% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (0.010000000000002 0.01)75.09% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 68.78%
    SV Darmstadt 98 13.54%
    Draw 17.67%
RB LeipzigDrawSV Darmstadt 98
2-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.72% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.66%
5-0 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 68.78%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 3.57% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.67%
1-2 @ 3.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 3.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 13.54%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Darmstadt

RB Leipzig
88.5%
Draw
9.8%
SV Darmstadt 98
1.6%
61
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Darmstadt
1-3
RB Leipzig
Kempe (32' pen.)
Holland (47'), Klarer (49'), Nurnberger (60'), Skarke (67'), Maglica (68'), Muller (71')
Openda (1', 72'), Forsberg (24')
Raum (63'), Openda (68'), Kampl (79')
Apr 1, 2017 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
Darmstadt
Keita (13', 81'), Forsberg (67'), Orban (79')
Burke (42')

Schipplock (57'), Sirigu (62'), Kamavuaka (83')
Sirigu (72')
Oct 29, 2016 2.30pm
Darmstadt
0-2
RB Leipzig

Gondorf (3'), Schipplock (21'), Hohn (77'), Ben-Hatira (86')
Sabitzer (57', 82')
Poulsen (24'), Compper (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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