Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 24, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kane (56', 90+1')
Pavlovic (37'), de Ligt (59'), Musiala (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sesko (70')
Orban (41'), Schlager (67'), Simakan (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Bayern
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 2-2 RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich can ill-afford any more slip-ups in the Bundesliga if they are to keep their slim hopes of retaining the title alive, but that is easier said than done against a Leipzig outfit who have fared well against the Bavarians in recent meetings. Indeed, Die Roten Bullen are no pushovers for Bayern, and taking into account the contrasting moods within the two camps, we believe that the visitors will find a way to frustrate the hosts and claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw has a probability of 17.5% and a win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 15.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.63%), while for a RB Leipzig win it is 1-2 (4.24%).

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	RB Leipzig
67.15% ( 0.02)	17.55% ( -0.01)	15.29% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.43% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.45% (

0.03)

30.55% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.15% (

0.03)

51.85% (

-0.03)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.56% (

0.01)

8.43% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.71% (

0.02)

29.28% (

-0.03)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.09% (

0.01)

32.91% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.51% (

0.01)

69.48% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 67.15%

RB Leipzig 15.29%

Draw 17.55%

Bayern Munich	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7% 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.81% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.38% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 67.15%	1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.55%	1-2 @ 4.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 15.29%