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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leipzig logo

Bayern
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kane (56', 90+1')
Pavlovic (37'), de Ligt (59'), Musiala (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sesko (70')
Orban (41'), Schlager (67'), Simakan (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Bayern
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-2 RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich can ill-afford any more slip-ups in the Bundesliga if they are to keep their slim hopes of retaining the title alive, but that is easier said than done against a Leipzig outfit who have fared well against the Bavarians in recent meetings. Indeed, Die Roten Bullen are no pushovers for Bayern, and taking into account the contrasting moods within the two camps, we believe that the visitors will find a way to frustrate the hosts and claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw has a probability of 17.5% and a win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 15.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.63%), while for a RB Leipzig win it is 1-2 (4.24%).

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
67.15% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 17.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 15.29% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.43% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.45% (0.025000000000006 0.03)30.55% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.15% (0.030999999999999 0.03)51.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)8.43% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.28% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)69.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 67.15%
    RB Leipzig 15.29%
    Draw 17.55%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7%
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.33% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 67.15%
1-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.55%
1-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 15.29%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
Draw
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
47.8%
Draw
21.7%
RB Leipzig
30.4%
92
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayern
Openda (20'), Lukeba (26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')
Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Bayern
0-3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
Olmo (3', 44', 68')
Olmo (71')
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2510784439537
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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