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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Bayern
0 - 1
Werder Bremen


Kimmich (17'), de Ligt (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Weiser (59')
Schmid (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 5-0 Werder Bremen

Bayern's dominance over Bremen in recent years goes even beyond the levels the Bavarians are accustomed to, and another big win could be on the cards, despite some injury concerns. Bremen have lost 27 of their last 28 games against Bayern, and the rate at which they concede goals at the Allianz is of great concern for manager Werner heading into this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 83.23%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 6.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 4-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.83%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
83.23% (0.46299999999999 0.46) 10.74% (-0.202 -0.2) 6.03% (-0.2569 -0.26)
Both teams to score 52.17% (-0.811 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.29% (-0.13 -0.13)24.71% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.46% (-0.172 -0.17)44.53% (0.177 0.18)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.72% (0.051000000000002 0.05)4.28% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.25% (0.14700000000001 0.15)17.75% (-0.143 -0.14)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.5% (-0.875 -0.88)45.5% (0.877 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67% (-0.697 -0.7)81.33% (0.70100000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 83.22%
    Werder Bremen 6.03%
    Draw 10.74%
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
3-0 @ 10.15% (0.185 0.19)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.15 0.15)
4-0 @ 8% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 8% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 6.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.13% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
5-0 @ 5.05% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 3.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.095 -0.1)
6-0 @ 2.65% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
6-1 @ 2.09% (0.01 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.56% (-0.037 -0.04)
7-0 @ 1.19% (0.038 0.04)
7-1 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 83.22%
1-1 @ 4.83% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 1.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 10.74%
1-2 @ 1.9% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-1 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.03%

How you voted: Bayern vs Werder Bremen

Bayern Munich
88.5%
Draw
7.7%
Werder Bremen
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
0-4
Bayern

Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')
Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
1-2
Bayern
Schmidt (87')
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-3
Bayern
Fullkrug (86')
Sargent (70')
Goretzka (22'), Gnabry (35'), Lewandowski (67')
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bayern
1-1
Werder Bremen
Coman (62')
Pavard (15')
Eggestein (45')
Bittencourt (32'), Augustinsson (43'), Kohfeldt (80'), Pavlenka (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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