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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.86%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 0-1 (6.92%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
22.54% ( -2.41) | 20.6% ( -0.86) | 56.86% ( 3.26) |
Both teams to score 63.98% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.65% ( 1.42) | 33.34% ( -1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.88% ( 1.61) | 55.12% ( -1.61) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.5% ( -1.07) | 27.5% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37% ( -1.4) | 63% ( 1.4) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.25% ( 1.41) | 11.74% ( -1.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.1% ( 2.94) | 36.9% ( -2.94) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.48) 1-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.62% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.6% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 6.83% ( 0.39) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.45) 2-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.39) 0-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.38) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.19) 1-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.24) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.22) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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