Werder Bremen0 - 4Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFL-Supercup
We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Bayern Munich
Although they made a rare slip-up last weekend, Bayern's squad seems more formidable than ever, as a host of internationals jostle just for a place on the bench. If they can click into gear quickly, feeding Harry Kane with the right service, goals are sure to follow - therefore, a 15th straight win at Weserstadion surely awaits. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.86%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 0-1 (6.92%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
22.54% ( -2.41) | 20.6% ( -0.86) | 56.86% ( 3.26) |
| Both teams to score 63.98% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.65% ( 1.42) | 33.34% ( -1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.88% ( 1.61) | 55.12% ( -1.61) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( -1.07) | 27.5% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37% ( -1.4) | 63% ( 1.4) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.25% ( 1.41) | 11.74% ( -1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.1% ( 2.94) | 36.9% ( -2.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.48) 1-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.46)2-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.62% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.6% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.26)0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 6.83% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.45)2-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.39)0-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.38)2-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.19)1-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.24)0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.22)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.86% |
