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Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Bayern logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 4
Bayern


Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Viktoria Koln 3-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFL-Supercup

We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Bayern Munich

 Although they made a rare slip-up last weekend, Bayern's squad seems more formidable than ever, as a host of internationals jostle just for a place on the bench. If they can click into gear quickly, feeding Harry Kane with the right service, goals are sure to follow - therefore, a 15th straight win at Weserstadion surely awaits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.86%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 0-1 (6.92%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
22.54% (-2.405 -2.41) 20.6% (-0.856 -0.86) 56.86% (3.259 3.26)
Both teams to score 63.98% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65% (1.424 1.42)33.34% (-1.426 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.88% (1.612 1.61)55.12% (-1.614 -1.61)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (-1.072 -1.07)27.5% (1.07 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37% (-1.404 -1.4)63% (1.401 1.4)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.25% (1.409 1.41)11.74% (-1.409 -1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.1% (2.94 2.94)36.9% (-2.941 -2.94)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 22.54%
    Bayern Munich 56.86%
    Draw 20.6%
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.76% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-0 @ 4.17% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-0 @ 2.69% (-0.387 -0.39)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 22.54%
1-1 @ 8.93% (-0.455 -0.46)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.23% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.6%
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.41% (0.256 0.26)
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 6.83% (0.393 0.39)
0-3 @ 5.29% (0.453 0.45)
2-3 @ 4.41% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 3.66% (0.393 0.39)
0-4 @ 2.83% (0.38 0.38)
2-4 @ 2.36% (0.189 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.57% (0.242 0.24)
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.218 0.22)
3-4 @ 1.02% (0.053 0.05)
2-5 @ 1.01% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 56.86%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Bayern

Werder Bremen
9.9%
Draw
11.0%
Bayern Munich
79.1%
91
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> Preview
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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