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Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Koln logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 1
FC Koln

Schmid (73')
Weiser (27'), Bittencourt (33'), Stage (79'), Buchanan (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tigges (36')
Ljubicic (12'), Hector (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 FC Koln

 While in-form FC Koln have won four of their last six matches to steer clear of relegation trouble, Werder Bremen have suffered seven defeats in 10 outings to remain in danger. With that in mind, we expect the Billy Goats to notch a fourth successive away victory on Saturday, inflicting a fifth straight home defeat on the River Islanders in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFC Koln
37.22% (-0.17 -0.17) 24.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 38.21% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 59.36% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4% (0.067999999999998 0.07)43.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34% (0.067 0.07)65.99% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)23.21% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)57.11% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (0.127 0.13)22.7% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (0.186 0.19)56.36% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 37.22%
    FC Koln 38.21%
    Draw 24.56%
Werder BremenDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.21%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs FC Koln

Werder Bremen
35.9%
Draw
12.8%
FC Koln
51.3%
39
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 16
FC Koln
7-1
Werder Bremen
Maina (9'), Tigges (15', 21'), Skhiri (30', 54'), Huseinbasic (36'), Friedl (76' og.)
Fullkrug (38')
Mar 7, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 24
FC Koln
1-1
Werder Bremen
Hector (83')
Jakobs (21'), Drexler (80')
Sargent (66')
Nov 6, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 7
Werder Bremen
1-1
FC Koln
Bittencourt (82' pen.)
Mbom (31'), Osako (67')
Moisander (67' og.)
Wolf (23'), Czichos (65')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 34
Werder Bremen
6-1
FC Koln
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 17
FC Koln
1-0
Werder Bremen
Cordoba (39')
Cordoba (64')

Eggestein (45'), Veljkovic (69'), Moisander (85'), Friedl (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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