Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 20, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
1 - 1
FC Koln

Schmid (73')
Weiser (27'), Bittencourt (33'), Stage (79'), Buchanan (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tigges (36')
Ljubicic (12'), Hector (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 FC Koln

While in-form FC Koln have won four of their last six matches to steer clear of relegation trouble, Werder Bremen have suffered seven defeats in 10 outings to remain in danger. With that in mind, we expect the Billy Goats to notch a fourth successive away victory on Saturday, inflicting a fifth straight home defeat on the River Islanders in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	FC Koln
37.22% ( -0.17)	24.56% ( -0.01)	38.21% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 59.36% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.4% (

0.07)

43.6% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34% (

0.07)

65.99% (

-0.06)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.79% (

-0.06)

23.21% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.89% (

-0.09)

57.11% (

0.09)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3% (

0.13)

22.7% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.64% (

0.19)

56.36% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 37.22%

FC Koln 38.21%

Draw 24.56%

Werder Bremen	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.22%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.21%