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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Freiburg logo

FC Koln
0 - 1
Freiburg


Martel (24')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doan (54')
Hofler (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 4-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 Freiburg

After opening up a 10-point gap ahead of the relegation places by beating Hoffenheim last time out, Koln can play with a little more freedom during the closing weeks of the campaign, and we expect their matches to be entertaining as a result. For Freiburg, this is a pivotal week as they look to strengthen their position within the top four and reach a second successive DFB-Pokal final, and we believe that Streich's side will earn another vital victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
51.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.54% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)50.53% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54% (-0.055 -0.05)72.45% (0.050999999999988 0.05)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)19.66% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (-0.064 -0.06)51.64% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.02 -0.02)72.62% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 51.37%
    Freiburg 23.9%
    Draw 24.73%
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.32%
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.37%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.9%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Freiburg

FC Koln
18.6%
Draw
4.7%
Freiburg
76.7%
43
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 13
Freiburg
2-0
FC Koln
Woo-yeong (53'), Gregoritsch (64')

Schindler (90+2')
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 21
FC Koln
1-0
Freiburg
Modeste (23')
Thielmann (65'), Ljubicic (68')

Woo-yeong (81'), Hofler (83')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
FC Koln
Czichos (89' og.)
Schade (74')
Modeste (34')
Kainz (51'), Modeste (69')
Kainz (74')
May 9, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 32
FC Koln
1-4
Freiburg
Andersson (50')
Horn (37'), Andersson (47')
Petersen (18'), Demirovic (20'), Grifo (90+3'), Schmid (90+6')
Demirovic (41'), Lienhart (81')
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 15
Freiburg
5-0
FC Koln
Demirovic (18'), Hofler (39'), Sallai (59'), Lienhart (69'), Holer (79')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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