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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Freiburg logo

FC Koln
0 - 1
Freiburg


Martel (24')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doan (54')
Hofler (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 4-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 Freiburg

 After opening up a 10-point gap ahead of the relegation places by beating Hoffenheim last time out, Koln can play with a little more freedom during the closing weeks of the campaign, and we expect their matches to be entertaining as a result. For Freiburg, this is a pivotal week as they look to strengthen their position within the top four and reach a second successive DFB-Pokal final, and we believe that Streich's side will earn another vital victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
51.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.54% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)50.53% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54% (-0.055 -0.05)72.45% (0.050999999999988 0.05)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)19.66% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (-0.064 -0.06)51.64% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.02 -0.02)72.62% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 51.37%
    Freiburg 23.9%
    Draw 24.73%
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.32%
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.37%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.9%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Freiburg

FC Koln
18.6%
Draw
4.7%
Freiburg
76.7%
43
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 13
Freiburg
2-0
FC Koln
Woo-yeong (53'), Gregoritsch (64')

Schindler (90+2')
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 21
FC Koln
1-0
Freiburg
Modeste (23')
Thielmann (65'), Ljubicic (68')

Woo-yeong (81'), Hofler (83')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
FC Koln
Czichos (89' og.)
Schade (74')
Modeste (34')
Kainz (51'), Modeste (69')
Kainz (74')
May 9, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 32
FC Koln
1-4
Freiburg
Andersson (50')
Horn (37'), Andersson (47')
Petersen (18'), Demirovic (20'), Grifo (90+3'), Schmid (90+6')
Demirovic (41'), Lienhart (81')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 15
Freiburg
5-0
FC Koln
Demirovic (18'), Hofler (39'), Sallai (59'), Lienhart (69'), Holer (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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