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Bayern logo
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Apr 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo

Bayern
1 - 2
Freiburg

Upamecano (19')
Upamecano (83'), Mane (90+2'), Musiala (90+3'), Pavard (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
Gregoritsch (36'), Sildillia (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Freiburg

 Bayern appeared to be back to their dominant best against Dortmund, with Tuchel's superior experience compared to his predecessor potentially set to take them over the line on both domestic fronts. Freiburg have been pushed to the limit by their exertions in three competitions this season, and they have struggled to turn draws into victories of late, but they are unlikely to get close to having the chance to achieve that on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
67.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 17.52%15.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Both teams to score 61.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.87%30.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)51.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)69.01% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 67.06%
    Freiburg 15.41%
    Draw 17.52%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.78%
3-0 @ 6.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.73%
4-1 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.4%
5-0 @ 2.14%
5-2 @ 1.35%
4-3 @ 1.02%
6-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 67.06%
1-1 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 5.28%
0-0 @ 2.71%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.52%
1-2 @ 4.25%
0-1 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 15.41%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
92.6%
Draw
4.9%
Freiburg
2.5%
81
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Bayern
5-0
Freiburg
Gnabry (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (33'), Sane (52'), Mane (55'), Sabitzer (80')

Gregoritsch (50')
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Goretzka (30'), Lewandowski (75')
Haberer (90+3')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')
Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Lewandowski (7'), Muller (74')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (90')
Petersen (62')
Hofler (9'), Sallai (46')
rhs 2.0
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