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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Hertha Berlin logo

Freiburg
1 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Grifo (52')
Gulde (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ngankam (77')
Ngankam (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, March 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Even without Gregoritsch's towering presence and goalscoring touch in attack, we expect Freiburg to have too much quality for Hertha, who have been wretched on the road all season long. Whether Streich utilises a 3-4-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation is unlikely to matter too much, as his players are comfortable within either system, while their overall goal of a top-four finish looks set to drive them on between now and the end of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
61.03% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 20.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 18.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.97% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (0.033000000000001 0.03)40.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (0.033000000000001 0.03)62.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.019000000000005 0.02)12.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.82% (0.037999999999997 0.04)39.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.79% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.56% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 61.03%
    Hertha Berlin 18.2%
    Draw 20.76%
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 61.03%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.2%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Hertha Berlin

Freiburg
95.8%
Draw
4.2%
Hertha Berlin
0.0%
48
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 4.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-2
Freiburg
Lukebakio (34' pen.), Serdar (61')
Rogel (43')
Kyereh (22'), Schade (78')
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-0
Hertha Berlin
Grifo (12' pen.), Schade (83'), Holer (86')
Hofler (21')

Jovetic (24'), Andre Bjorkan (74')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Freiburg
Piatek (70')
Boateng (29'), Serdar (69'), Jastrzembski (90+4')
Lienhart (17'), Petersen (78')
May 6, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-0
Freiburg
Piatek (13'), Pekarik (22'), Radonjic (85')
Alderete (20'), Guendouzi (38'), Torunarigha (64'), Darida (69')

Hofler (36'), Demirovic (42'), Sallai (80')
Dec 20, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
4-1
Hertha Berlin
Grifo (7'), Demirovic (59'), Gulde (67'), Petersen (90+4' pen.)
Lukebakio (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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