MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:49:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Leverkusen logo

Freiburg
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Grifo (29')
Sallai (26'), Gregoritsch (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Azmoun (67')
Demirbay (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Freiburg
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen

Given that Bayer Leverkusen were forced to endure extra time and penalties on Thursday, Alonso's fatigued team look set to suffer a fourth defeat in five Bundesliga outings, while Freiburg are expected to enhance their title bid with a third successive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
51.87% (0.698 0.7) 22.65% (-0.192 -0.19) 25.47% (-0.51 -0.51)
Both teams to score 60.08% (0.159 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.97% (0.44 0.44)40.02% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61% (0.455 0.45)62.38% (-0.459 -0.46)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.401 0.4)15.54% (-0.405 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (0.743 0.74)44.48% (-0.748 -0.75)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (-0.15400000000001 -0.15)28.85% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (-0.189 -0.19)64.71% (0.18499999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 51.87%
    Bayer Leverkusen 25.47%
    Draw 22.65%
FreiburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.77% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.045 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 51.87%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 25.47%

How you voted: Freiburg vs B. Leverkusen

Freiburg
70.5%
Draw
15.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
14.3%
112
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-3
Freiburg
Demirbay (16'), Schick (65')
Tah (5'), Amiri (82')
Ginter (48'), Gregoritsch (51'), Doan (72')
Hofler (34'), Gregoritsch (53')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Grifo (33' pen.), Schade (84')
Schlotterbeck (30'), Holer (86')
Aranguiz (45+1')
Frimpong (32'), Andrich (39'), Odilon (82')
Feb 28, 2021 5pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Freiburg
Bailey (70')
Aranguiz (68'), Bailey (71')
Demirovic (50'), Holer (61')
Demirovic (21'), Hofler (73'), Sallai (77')
Nov 1, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Holer (3'), Petersen (72')
Kubler (45+1'), Heintz (50')
Alario (29', 42'), Amiri (64'), Tah (76')
Bender (24'), Diaby (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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