Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 1
Augsburg

Gregoritsch (13'), Holer (30'), Lienhart (85')
Lienhart (37'), Wagner (79'), Eggestein (75')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Berisha (29' pen.)
Berisha (36'), Uduokhai (7'), Demirovic (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Frankfurt
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Borussia M'bach
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Augsburg

We believe that Freiburg will control this matchup and will have too much attacking quality for Augsburg to deal with. Augsburg will be aggressive and direct in their approach to this game away from home, but will be unable to cause a threat to Freiburg defensively and will be picked off by the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 66.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Augsburg
66.16% ( -0.68)	19.26% ( 0.34)	14.58% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 52.94% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.48% (

-0.84)

40.52% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.1% (

-0.86)

62.9% (

0.86)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.59% (

-0.42)

11.41% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.83% (

-0.91)

36.17% (

0.91)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.76% (

-0.06)

40.24% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

-0.05)

76.87% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 66.15%

Augsburg 14.58%

Draw 19.26%

Freiburg	Draw	Augsburg
2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.94% Total : 66.15%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.26%	0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 14.58%