MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:47:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Augsburg logo

Freiburg
3 - 1
Augsburg

Gregoritsch (13'), Holer (30'), Lienhart (85')
Lienhart (37'), Wagner (79'), Eggestein (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Berisha (29' pen.)
Berisha (36'), Uduokhai (7'), Demirovic (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Frankfurt
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Borussia M'bach
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Augsburg

We believe that Freiburg will control this matchup and will have too much attacking quality for Augsburg to deal with. Augsburg will be aggressive and direct in their approach to this game away from home, but will be unable to cause a threat to Freiburg defensively and will be picked off by the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 66.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
66.16% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68) 19.26% (0.34 0.34) 14.58% (0.337 0.34)
Both teams to score 52.94% (-0.3 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.48% (-0.836 -0.84)40.52% (0.836 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.1% (-0.864 -0.86)62.9% (0.864 0.86)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (-0.417 -0.42)11.41% (0.417 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.83% (-0.913 -0.91)36.17% (0.913 0.91)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)40.24% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)76.87% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 66.15%
    Augsburg 14.58%
    Draw 19.26%
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.83% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.25% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.68% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 66.15%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.181 0.18)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.26%
0-1 @ 4.18% (0.152 0.15)
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.36%
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 14.58%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Augsburg

Freiburg
90.6%
Draw
5.7%
Augsburg
3.8%
53
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Freiburg
3-0
Augsburg
Kubler (6'), Holer (25'), Grifo (33' pen.)

Gouweleeuw (73')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Sallai (51'), Lienhart (79')
Lienhart (23'), Gulde (29'), Santamaria (45+1'), Til (46'), Hofler (74'), Gunter (76'), Demirovic (90+4')

Uduokhai (15'), Gouweleeuw (84')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!