Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Nov 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Freiburg

Simakan (54'), Nkunku (56'), Forsberg (78' pen.)
Nkunku (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kubler (66')
Doan (41'), Woo-yeong (43'), Sildillia (46'), Sallai (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Freiburg

This should be a highly entertaining encounter between two in-form teams, but Leipzig appear to be a class above the majority of teams in the division at present and should be able to claim a huge win. Nkunku continues to be one of the Bundesliga's most impressive players and he will be keen to remain at the top of the Bundesliga goalscoring charts, although Gregoritsch will fancy his chances of bagging once again, too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Freiburg
59.75% ( 1.66)	21.36% ( -0.51)	18.88% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.84% (

0.6)

42.16% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.43% (

0.6)

64.56% (

-0.61)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.27% (

0.71)

13.73% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.01% (

1.4)

40.99% (

-1.41)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99% (

-0.85)

36.01% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21% (

-0.88)

72.79% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 59.75%

Freiburg 18.88%

Draw 21.35%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.12% Total : 59.75%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.35%	1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.88%