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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
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Augsburg
3 - 3
RB Leipzig

Berisha (34' pen.), Demirovic (51'), Vargas (64')
Berisha (22'), Demirovic (37'), Gruezo (60'), Iago (65'), Gouweleeuw (83'), Rexhbecaj (90+3')
Iago (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silva (73'), Nkunku (89'), Novoa (90')
Silva (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-5 Bayern
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-0 Hamburger SV
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Augsburg 1-1 RB Leipzig

 Should Augsburg be missing Nkunku and Werner from the start on Saturday, Augsburg will feel that they can take advantage of their opponents' minimised threat. The hosts have been in decent form of late despite losing their last two matches, and they have plenty of firepower themselves to test Leipzig's defensive unit. As such, we can envisage a repeat of last season's scoreline when these two sides met in Bavaria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 78.21%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 8.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawRB Leipzig
8.66% (-0.2989 -0.3) 13.13% (-0.336 -0.34) 78.21% (0.637 0.64)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.33% (0.72 0.72)26.67% (-0.718 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.93% (0.91 0.91)47.07% (-0.90799999999999 -0.91)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (-0.055 -0.05)40.56% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.84% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)77.16% (0.050000000000011 0.05)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.56% (0.255 0.25)5.44% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.72% (0.73699999999999 0.74)21.28% (-0.735 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 8.66%
    RB Leipzig 78.21%
    Draw 13.13%
AugsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 2.62% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-0 @ 1.99% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 8.66%
1-1 @ 5.8% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.21% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 13.13%
0-2 @ 9.35% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 9.07% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 8.19% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 6.6% (0.124 0.12)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-4 @ 5.96% (0.103 0.1)
0-5 @ 3.85% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.7%
1-5 @ 3.47% (0.114 0.11)
2-4 @ 2.69% (0.042 0.04)
0-6 @ 1.87% (0.092 0.09)
1-6 @ 1.68% (0.08 0.08)
2-5 @ 1.57% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 5.36%
Total : 78.21%

How you voted: Augsburg vs RB Leipzig

Augsburg
27.5%
Draw
12.5%
RB Leipzig
60.0%
80
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 6.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
Augsburg
Silva (40'), Nkunku (48', 57'), Forsberg (64' pen.)
Forsberg (36')

Gouweleeuw (72'), Gunther (77')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Augsburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Caligiuri (86' pen.)
Dorsch (44'), Sarenren Bazee (87')
Silva (19')
Feb 12, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Augsburg
Olmo (38' pen.), Nkunku (43')
Klostermann (41'), Orban (62'), Adams (72')
Caligiuri (77' pen.)
Oxford (3'), Gouweleeuw (22'), Suchy (28'), Gikiewicz (34'), Benes (63')
Dec 22, 2020 5.30pm
Augsburg
0-3
RB Leipzig

Iago (8')
Orban (11'), Poulsen (75'), Angelino (82')
Mukiele (73')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
0-2
RB Leipzig
Angelino (45'), Poulsen (66')
Upamecano (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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