DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 5pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig4 - 0Hamburger SV
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Hamburger SV
Friday, October 14 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Friday, October 14 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hamburger SV |
43.15% ( 0) | 22.99% ( -0) | 33.85% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.6% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
