2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Sep 17, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Imtech Arena

Hamburger SV
2 - 0
Dusseldorf

Glatzel (21'), Jatta (90')
Reis (36'), Heyer (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hendrix (45'), Karbownik (48'), Kownacki (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

Last Six:

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-3 Hamburger SV
Friday, September 9 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	SC Paderborn	8	16	19
2	Hamburger SV	8	7	18
3	Hannover	9	5	17

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last Six:

Last Game: Dusseldorf 3-1 Hansa Rostock
Saturday, September 10 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	SV Darmstadt 98	8	5	15
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	6	14
7	Kaiserslautern	8	3	13

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
49.15% ( -0.04)	23.21% ( 0.12)	27.64% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 60.17% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.19% (

-0.63)

40.8% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.81% (

-0.65)

63.19% (

0.65)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.19% (

-0.25)

16.8% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.22% (

-0.45)

46.77% (

0.45)

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.38)

27.67% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

-0.5)

63.22% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 49.15%

Fortuna Dusseldorf 27.64%

Draw 23.2%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.19% Total : 49.15%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.2%	1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.64%