MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:40:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Freiburg logo

Schalke
0 - 2
Freiburg


Polter (18'), Krauss (73'), Yoshida (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grifo (45+1', 61' pen.)
Ginter (41'), Gunter (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Olympiakos
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Schalke 04 1-2 Freiburg

Freiburg may be a little tired from their European exploits on Thursday, but we expect them to have too much quality for Schalke in the end. The hosts have lost six successive matches in all competitions and it is likely to take time for Reis's desired methods to have an impact, but they should show more fight than of late at least. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawFreiburg
32.25% (-0.249 -0.25) 23.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 44.13% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 61.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.9% (0.053000000000004 0.05)40.1% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53% (0.055 0.05)62.46% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (-0.121 -0.12)24.34% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.26% (-0.172 -0.17)58.73% (0.174 0.17)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (0.13900000000001 0.14)18.49% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.29% (0.232 0.23)49.7% (-0.231 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 32.25%
    Freiburg 44.13%
    Draw 23.61%
Schalke 04DrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.36% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.49% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.25%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.52% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 44.13%

How you voted: Schalke vs Freiburg

Schalke 04
10.3%
Draw
9.0%
Freiburg
80.8%
78
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
4-0
Schalke
Holer (7'), Sallai (22' pen.), Gunter (50', 74')
Santamaria (9'), Heintz (29')

Huntelaar (21')
Dec 16, 2020 5.30pm
Schalke
0-2
Freiburg

Raman (19'), Serdar (83')
Sallai (50', 68')
Santamaria (36')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Schalke
2-2
Freiburg
Serdar (26'), Kutucu (80')
Kenny (61')
Petersen (54' pen.), Grifo (67' pen.)
Hofler (59')
Feb 16, 2019 2.30pm
Schalke
0-0
Freiburg

Serdar (42')

Abrashi (31'), Heintz (79'), Gunter (87')
Gunter (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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