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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Schalke

Hertha Berlin
2 - 1
Schalke

Tousart (49'), Kanga (88')
Kanga (75'), Rogel (81'), Lukebakio (90+1'), Richter (90+3'), Boetius (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mollet (85')
Polter (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Schalke 04

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 5-1 Schalke
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke 04

 We expect a closely-fought affair between two struggling sides, but we can envisage Hertha having enough quality to get over the line. The hosts are a much tighter defensive unit under Schwarz, with their pace and quality in transition likely to hurt Schalke, who appear to be in need of major surgery in the January transfer window. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hertha Berlin in this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawSchalke 04
42.32% (0.275 0.27) 24.6% (-0.176 -0.18) 33.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 58.43% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (0.781 0.78)44.47% (-0.782 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (0.753 0.75)66.84% (-0.754 -0.75)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.459 0.46)21.09% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (0.711 0.71)53.91% (-0.712 -0.71)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (0.31399999999999 0.31)25.95% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.423 0.42)60.96% (-0.425 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 42.32%
    Schalke 04 33.08%
    Draw 24.6%
Hertha BerlinDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 42.32%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.073 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 33.08%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Schalke

Hertha Berlin
80.3%
Draw
11.5%
Schalke 04
8.2%
61
Head to Head
May 12, 2021 5pm
Schalke
1-2
Hertha Berlin
Harit (6')
Harit (43'), Mustafi (54'), Kolasinac (68')
Boyata (19'), Ngankam (74')
Darida (50'), Lukebakio (67'), Boyata (68'), Michelbrink (90+1')
Lukebakio (89')
Jan 2, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-0
Schalke
Guendouzi (36'), Cordoba (52'), Piatek (80')
Tousart (14'), Guendouzi (51')

Hoppe (37'), Mascarell (58')
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Schalke
3-2
Hertha Berlin
Caligiuri (76'), Harit (82'), Raman (115')
Harit (64'), Raman (80'), Miranda (105'), Oczipka (111')
Nubel (102')
Kopke (12'), Piatek (39')
Torunarigha (85'), Ciljan Skjelbred (103')
Torunarigha (100')
Jan 31, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-0
Schalke

Mittelstadt (91')

Oczipka (71')
Aug 31, 2019 2.30pm
Schalke
3-0
Hertha Berlin
Stark (38' og.), Rekik (48' og.), Kenny (85')
Mascarell (52')

Ibisevic (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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