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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo

Bayern
5 - 0
Freiburg

Gnabry (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (33'), Sane (52'), Mane (55'), Sabitzer (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gregoritsch (50'), Sildillia (51'), Streich (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plzen 2-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nantes 0-4 Freiburg
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Freiburg

While Bayern's potential injury issues give Freiburg an even greater chance of claiming a result, we expect the Bavarians to leapfrog their opponents in the table by claiming an important victory. Streich's side have had a relatively kind fixture list so far and may find themselves outclassed by their opponents at times, especially after Nagelsmann's side were able to take their foot off the gas away to Plzen on Wednesday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 9.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
74.42% (0.208 0.21) 16.33% (-0.122 -0.12) 9.25% (-0.089 -0.09)
Both teams to score 45.4% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (0.27800000000001 0.28)41.23% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (0.283 0.28)63.63% (-0.287 -0.29)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.48% (0.11999999999999 0.12)9.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.1% (0.285 0.28)31.9% (-0.289 -0.29)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.17% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)49.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)84.54%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 74.4%
    Freiburg 9.25%
    Draw 16.34%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 13.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 10.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 6.05% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.21% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.85% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.014 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 74.4%
1-1 @ 7.77% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 16.34%
0-1 @ 3.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.25%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
74.3%
Draw
11.9%
Freiburg
13.8%
109
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')
Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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