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Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo

Bayern
5 - 0
Freiburg

Gnabry (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (33'), Sane (52'), Mane (55'), Sabitzer (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gregoritsch (50'), Sildillia (51'), Streich (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Plzen 2-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Nantes 0-4 Freiburg
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Freiburg

 While Bayern's potential injury issues give Freiburg an even greater chance of claiming a result, we expect the Bavarians to leapfrog their opponents in the table by claiming an important victory. Streich's side have had a relatively kind fixture list so far and may find themselves outclassed by their opponents at times, especially after Nagelsmann's side were able to take their foot off the gas away to Plzen on Wednesday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 9.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
74.42% (0.208 0.21) 16.33% (-0.122 -0.12) 9.25% (-0.089 -0.09)
Both teams to score 45.4% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (0.27800000000001 0.28)41.23% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (0.283 0.28)63.63% (-0.287 -0.29)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.48% (0.11999999999999 0.12)9.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.1% (0.285 0.28)31.9% (-0.289 -0.29)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.17% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)49.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)84.54%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 74.4%
    Freiburg 9.25%
    Draw 16.34%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 13.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 10.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 6.05% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.21% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.85% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.014 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 74.4%
1-1 @ 7.77% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 16.34%
0-1 @ 3.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.25%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
74.3%
Draw
11.9%
Freiburg
13.8%
109
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Goretzka (30'), Lewandowski (75')
Haberer (90+3')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')
Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Lewandowski (7'), Muller (74')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (90')
Petersen (62')
Hofler (9'), Sallai (46')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Bayern
3-1
Freiburg
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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