Plzen2 - 4Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Viktoria Plzen 0-3 Bayern Munich
Bayern's defensive injuries could provide the hosts with a glimmer of hope of causing an upset, but we expect Bayern to take a giant leap towards booking their place in the knockout stages by gaining a victory. The Bavarians still possess plenty of attacking firepower despite being short of numbers at present, and Plzen struggled to live with this last week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
17.8% ( -0.1) | 22.55% ( -0.05) | 59.65% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% ( 0.04) | 48.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% ( 0.04) | 71.05% ( -0.04) |
| Viktoria Plzen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.75% ( -0.1) | 41.24% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.23% ( -0.09) | 77.77% ( 0.09) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( 0.06) | 16.04% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.61% ( 0.12) | 45.39% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.8% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.07% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.64% |
