Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Doosan Aréna

Plzen
2 - 4
Bayern

Vlkanova (62'), Kliment (75')
Mosquera (78')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Mane (10'), Muller (14'), Goretzka (25', 35')
Mazraoui (64'), Sabitzer (90')

Bayern Munich withstand Viktoria Plzen fightback to reach Champions League last 16

Bayern Munich progress to the last 16 of the Champions League after securing a 4-2 victory away against Viktoria Plzen this evening.

Oct 12, 22:00

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Viktoria Plzen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Viktoria Plzen

Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Plzen
Tuesday, October 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Viktoria Plzen 0-3 Bayern Munich

Bayern's defensive injuries could provide the hosts with a glimmer of hope of causing an upset, but we expect Bayern to take a giant leap towards booking their place in the knockout stages by gaining a victory. The Bavarians still possess plenty of attacking firepower despite being short of numbers at present, and Plzen struggled to live with this last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Viktoria Plzen	Draw	Bayern Munich
17.8% ( -0.1)	22.55% ( -0.05)	59.65% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 49.33% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.03% (

0.04)

48.97% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.94% (

0.04)

71.05% (

-0.04)

Viktoria Plzen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.75% (

-0.1)

41.24% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.23% (

-0.09)

77.77% (

0.09)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.96% (

0.06)

16.04% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.61% (

0.12)

45.39% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Viktoria Plzen 17.8%

Bayern Munich 59.64%

Draw 22.55%

Viktoria Plzen	Draw	Bayern Munich
1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.8%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.55%	0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.64%