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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.03%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
23.92% ( 0.01) | 21.05% ( 0.01) | 55.03% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 64.16% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.1% ( -0.05) | 33.91% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.25% ( -0.06) | 55.76% ( 0.06) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% ( -0.02) | 26.73% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% ( -0.03) | 61.99% ( 0.03) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% ( -0.02) | 12.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.63% ( -0.05) | 38.37% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 23.92% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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