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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Werder Bremen

Dabour (32')
Geiger (8'), Vogt (71'), Kabak (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ducksch (18'), Fullkrug (87' pen.)
Gruev (44'), Friedl (45+1'), Bittencourt (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Werder Bremen

Werder have performed much better than most people would have expected so far this season, with only Bayern Munich scoring more goals than them across the entire division. As such, it could be an entertaining affair, with Hoffenheim potentially ending up with a third successive share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
49.85% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 22.56% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (0.0040000000000049 0)15.43% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.26% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)26.13% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)61.2% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 49.85%
    Werder Bremen 27.59%
    Draw 22.56%
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.59%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen

Hoffenheim
62.7%
Draw
21.1%
Werder Bremen
16.3%
166
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Hoffenheim
4-0
Werder Bremen
Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')
Oct 25, 2020 5pm
Jan 26, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Klaassen (34'), Friedl (60')
Klaassen (65' og.), Baumgartner (79'), Adamyan (83')
Posch (22'), Kramaric (38')
Aug 24, 2019 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-2
Werder Bremen
Bicakcic (54'), Bebou (59'), Kaderabek (87')
Rudy (46'), Bittencourt (91')
Fullkrug (42'), Osako (81')
Klaassen (35'), Eggestein (69'), Moisander (92'), Harnik (94')
Eggestein (77')
May 11, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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