Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
0 - 2
Bayern

Baumgartner (33'), Promel (68'), Kabak (80')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Musiala (18'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (38')
Upamecano (51'), Kimmich (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 5-1 Schalke
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 2-5 Bayern
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayern Munich

Hoffenheim have the quality and momentum to provide Bayern with a stern test on Saturday, but we expect the visitors to be too strong in the end. Nagelsmann's side look to have shaken off their poor run of results during September, and they will be highly focused on overturning their deficit at the top of the table ahead of next month's World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayern Munich
13% ( 0.08)	15.49% ( 0.02)	71.51% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 63.44% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.58% (

0.13)

25.42% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.53% (

0.17)

45.47% (

-0.17)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72% (

0.2)

32.28% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22% (

0.23)

68.78% (

-0.23)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.68% (

0.02)

6.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.24% (

0.04)

23.76% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 13%

Bayern Munich 71.51%

Draw 15.49%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 13%	1-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.49%	1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 8.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 3.09% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.35% Total : 71.51%