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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Hoffenheim logo

FC Koln
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Kainz (13')
Duda (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bruun Larsen (36')
Kabak (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovacko 0-1 FC Koln
Friday, October 28 at 12pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 Hoffenheim

We can envisage Hoffenheim punishing Koln's tiredness and the amount of players that they have unavailable with an away win on Sunday. The hosts feel like a team who could do with next month's World Cup starting even sooner than it does, with injury problems and fixture pile-up's mounting on Baumgart's shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
47.73% (-0.286 -0.29) 23.48% (0.177 0.18) 28.79% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 60.12% (-0.542 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.749 -0.75)41.27% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (-0.766 -0.77)63.67% (0.771 0.77)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)17.52% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.96% (-0.698 -0.7)48.03% (0.701 0.7)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.303 -0.3)27.11% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.399 -0.4)62.5% (0.402 0.4)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 47.73%
    Hoffenheim 28.79%
    Draw 23.47%
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.161 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.79%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Hoffenheim

FC Koln
24.7%
Draw
17.3%
Hoffenheim
58.0%
81
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 4.30pm
FC Koln
0-1
Hoffenheim

Ljubicic (61')
Posch (61')
Baumgartner (85'), Baumann (90+2'), Grillitsch (90+5'), Dabour (90+5')
Oct 15, 2021 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
5-0
FC Koln
Bebou (31', 49'), Baumgartner (51'), Geiger (74'), Posch (87')
Kaderabek (33')

Czichos (81')
Jan 24, 2021 5pm
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-3
Hoffenheim
Andersson (22'), Drexler (86')
Bornauw (33'), Duda (69'), Hector (85')
Kramaric (4', 45+3', 90+2')
Bicakcic (45+5'), Bebou (90'), Baumann (90'), Kaderabek (90+5')
May 27, 2020 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-1
FC Koln
Baumgartner (11', 46'), Zuber (48')
Hubner (3'), Grillitsch (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Nordtveit (76'), Bebou (84')
Hubner (50')
Kainz (60')
Jakobs (65')
Bornauw (26')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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